Voter Age & ID this decade

by Jerome Armstrong [courtesy of MyDD]

I just want to put this out there to have for matching up with polls that come out, that people might want to hotlist to refer to in the future (these are through the CNN website):

In terms of the Age Demographic:

           18-29     30-44     45-64     65+    2000     17        33        36        14      2004     17        29        38        16  2006     12        24        44        19                 18-29     30-44     45-59    60+     2000     17        33        28       22  2004     17        29        30       24  2006     12        24        34       29  

And in terms of Voter ID:

                 06     04     00    Democratic     38     37     39        Republican     36     37     35  Independent    26     26     27  

I'd adjust any poll that's put out to reflect the '04 exit polling before I bet on its findings. It might turn out to be much better in '08 for Democrats and younger voters, but that's a conservative prediction. VNC screwed up in '02 (though I do recall some sort of reconstruction of the exit polling being done), so I don't have those numbers-- my guess is that it was a strong Republican year with age demographics within the trend.

The aging of the voter population is something to note in particular. Readers here know I think alot of the book Millenial Makeoever, but one thing it doesn't take into account is that people are living longer and voting more often as they age (or at least becoming a larger slice of the pie).
Tags: 2008 (all tags)