Two More Polls Put Clinton Up Within Margin of Error in Penn.

by Jonathan Singer [courtesy of MyDD]

Here's what we have today, Republican pollster Strategic Vision and Democratic pollster Public Policy Polling (.pdf).

At this point, the majority of recent polling finds the race between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama in Pennsylvania to be a tie. There is little reason at this point (beyond the reputation of the pollster itself) to believe that this week's SurveyUSA poll showing Clinton leading by 18 points is on the mark. No, more and more it's looking like the contest in Pennsylvania is tightening up quite a bit -- so much so that Obama might actually have a valid shot at winning.

At the least, this state appears to be turning into a real problem for Clinton, who genuinely was leading by a margin in the upper-teens just a couple of weeks ago. While it's entirely understandable, and indeed expected, that Obama would see real movement in Pennsylvania given the unprecedented sum of money his campaign is spending on ads, Clinton simply needs to win big in Pennsylvania -- big in delegates, big in the popular vote -- if she has any hopes of catching up in the two metrics. If she is unable to win by a solid double-digit margin come April 22, I do believe that she is really going to have to reconsider whether she is actually able to secure the Democratic nomination.
Tags: Pennsylvania Primary, Pennsylvania, Democratic Primaries (all tags)