indiana rep

New Indiana Poll: Hillary with narrow lead heading into April

by BlueIndiana [courtesy of MyDD]

There's a new poll out of Indiana this evening and it shows a tightening race in my state's presidential primary battle. Here are the results, along with the numbers from Tuesday's SurveyUSA poll:

    Research 2000
    400 Likely Voters -- MoE 5%

    3/31-4/2

    49% -- Hillary Clinton
    46% -- Barack Obama
    5% -- Undecided

    SurveyUSA
    530 Likely Voters -- MoE 4.3%
    3/29-3/31

    52% -- Hillary Clinton
    43% -- Barack Obama
    5% -- Other/Undecided

For the Clinton camp, these numbers can't be encouraging. As I mentioned in my last post, she enjoys the support of most of the Democratic establishment within the state, but the endorsement yesterday of Obama by widely-respected former Indiana Rep. Lee Hamilton will probably give a palpable boost. Here's how the fight breaks down right now:

In the central portion of the state (outside of Indianapolis) and in southern Indiana, the demographics suggest that Clinton should have no problem tallying up some healthy margins. Similarly, the Obama campaign appears to be making a strong effort to run up the score in the Indianapolis metropolitan area, opening a second campaign headquarters in a city that arguably doesn't justify it by size alone. They want to win there, and win big.

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